Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
MUD
5 - 2
FCP
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
WBA
4 - 0
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
FCP
4 - 0
MUD
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
MUD
3 - 2
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
BRI
0 - 2
ARS
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 0
QPR
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1977 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
39%
30%
32%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |