Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1967 |
HIB
0 - 0
MUD
23%
22%
55%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
MUD
3 - 1
TOT
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
MUD
4 - 0
HIB
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
SHW
1 - 1
MUD
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
ARS
4 - 0
TOT
43%
25%
31%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
SHE
2 - 4
ARS
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1967 |
WBA
1 - 3
ARS
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |