Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
CHL
2 - 0
MUD
37%
25%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
SLB
1 - 5
MUD
68%
16%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
MUD
4 - 2
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
STO
2 - 2
MUD
33%
24%
44%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
MUD
6 - 2
NOR
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
ARS
0 - 0
BPO
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
ARS
1 - 1
BUR
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |