Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
BUR
1 - 3
MUD
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1962 |
BBU
3 - 0
MUD
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
MUD
5 - 0
IPS
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
LEI
4 - 3
MUD
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1962 |
TOT
3 - 1
MUD
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
ARS
3 - 1
WOL
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
FUL
5 - 2
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
NTT
0 - 1
ARS
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1962 |
ARS
4 - 5
ASV
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
CHL
2 - 3
ARS
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |