Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1957 |
MUD
3 - 0
ATH
62%
18%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 4
MUD
39%
23%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1957 |
SHW
2 - 1
MUD
35%
23%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1957 |
ATH
5 - 3
MUD
67%
17%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1957 |
MUD
6 - 1
NEW
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1957 |
ARS
6 - 3
SHW
65%
18%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1957 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1957 |
ARS
1 - 1
OPA
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
WBA
0 - 2
ARS
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1956 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |