Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
3 - 0
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
BPO
2 - 2
MUD
41%
25%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
6 - 1
BUR
77%
15%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
4 - 0
LIV
71%
17%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
MUD
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1952 |
WBA
3 - 1
ARS
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
4 - 1
STO
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
4 - 1
BPO
70%
16%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |