Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1936 |
PNE
3 - 1
MUD
59%
20%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1936 |
MUD
1 - 1
SHW
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1936 |
MUD
3 - 2
MAC
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1936 |
MUD
3 - 1
HUR
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1936 |
DER
5 - 4
MUD
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1936 |
ARS
2 - 2
DER
67%
18%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1936 |
WOL
2 - 0
ARS
55%
20%
25%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1936 |
ARS
4 - 1
SUN
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 1
BRE
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1936 |
HUR
0 - 0
ARS
43%
24%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |