Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
OPA
3 - 0
MUD
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 5
GRI
61%
20%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1929 |
SHE
3 - 1
MUD
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 3
MAC
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
WHU
2 - 1
MUD
60%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
ARS
4 - 1
GRI
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 1
DER
60%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOL
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1929 |
ASV
5 - 2
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |