Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
BBU
0 - 3
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
MUD
3 - 0
SUN
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BCF
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
DER
6 - 1
MUD
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
BCF
1 - 3
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 1
LEI
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
ASV
4 - 2
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
ARS
7 - 1
BCF
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 0
BBU
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |