Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 2
MUD
66%
19%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 2
LEE
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1926 |
SHE
2 - 2
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
LIV
4 - 2
MUD
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1926 |
MUD
3 - 2
WBA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 2
LEI
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1926 |
BOL
2 - 2
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
SHE
4 - 0
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 1
DER
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |