Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
1 - 1
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 0
MUD
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
MUD
2 - 3
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 2
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1920 |
MUD
0 - 0
NOT
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 0
MUD
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ASV
5 - 0
ARS
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
ARS
3 - 0
BRA
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1920 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARS
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |