Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 2
WBA
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 3
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
MUD
2 - 0
SUN
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
OLD
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
SUN
3 - 0
MUD
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 3
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
OLD
3 - 0
ARS
61%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1920 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
77%
13%
9%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
ARS
3 - 2
OLD
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |