Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
10%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
SUN
1 - 2
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
MUD
2 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
SHE
2 - 0
MUD
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
MUD
3 - 2
BCF
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
LIV
3 - 2
MUD
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
ARS
2 - 1
NOT
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
PNE
4 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 2
MID
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
TOT
3 - 1
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
29%
26%
44%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |