Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRI
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
LEI
3 - 2
MUD
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 1
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
BRI
0 - 0
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
2 - 0
SHW
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
BBU
1 - 3
ARS
62%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |