Man. City U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. City U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 4
MCI
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
BHA
2 - 1
MCI
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MCI
4 - 1
EVE
42%
24%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +3 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
MCI
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MCI
1 - 0
LIV
36%
23%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
DER
1 - 4
BHA
34%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
39%
24%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
DER
2 - 2
TOT
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 2
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
DER
4 - 2
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |