Man. City U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
15.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
MCI
46%
21%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 5
MCI
14%
17%
70%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MCI
6 - 1
EVE
45%
21%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
STO
1 - 1
MCI
28%
20%
52%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 0
MCI
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
WOL
3 - 5
DER
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
DER
3 - 1
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
WBA
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DER
0 - 3
STO
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 0
DER
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |