EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-0
Manchester City vs Wycombe Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
NTT
3 - 0
MAC
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
MAC
0 - 1
MID
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
WYC
0 - 0
MAC
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
NEW
3 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
MAC
0 - 1
ARS
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wycombe Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 0
WYC
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
WYC
0 - 0
MAC
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
STO
1 - 1
WYC
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
WYC
1 - 0
CHE
47%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
WYC
1 - 1
POS
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |