Manchester City vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
DER
0 - 1
MAC
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
NTT
2 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1969 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
MAC
3 - 0
ATH
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
WOL
1 - 0
WHU
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
TOT
0 - 1
WOL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
WOL
2 - 2
SHW
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1969 |
WOL
2 - 3
EVE
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 1
WOL
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |