Manchester City vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1962 |
BIR
6 - 0
MAC
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1962 |
WBA
2 - 1
MAC
65%
18%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1962 |
MAC
2 - 4
ARS
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
FUL
2 - 4
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
MAC
1 - 1
LEI
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1962 |
FUL
0 - 5
WOL
32%
22%
46%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1962 |
WOL
1 - 3
LEI
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
LEY
0 - 4
WOL
24%
22%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
WOL
2 - 3
MUD
62%
18%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1962 |
BUR
2 - 0
WOL
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |