Manchester City vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1959 |
LEE
0 - 4
MAC
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1959 |
MUD
4 - 1
MAC
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1959 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
53%
21%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1959 |
EVE
3 - 1
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
PNE
2 - 0
MAC
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1959 |
MUD
2 - 1
WOL
50%
22%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1959 |
WOL
6 - 2
LEE
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1959 |
NEW
3 - 4
WOL
38%
23%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1959 |
WOL
5 - 0
BBU
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
WOL
1 - 2
CHL
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |