Manchester City vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
JUV
2 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
MAC
1 - 3
MUD
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SUN
0 - 2
MAC
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
MAC
1 - 0
JUV
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
MAC
2 - 1
BRI
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
WHU
1 - 1
SUN
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 1
WHU
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
WHU
0 - 2
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
STO
2 - 1
WHU
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
WHU
0 - 0
LEI
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |