Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
DER
2 - 4
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
MAC
2 - 1
SHE
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
TOT
3 - 1
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
DER
4 - 0
TOT
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
BOL
3 - 0
TOT
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
TOT
1 - 2
CHL
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
TOT
0 - 1
MID
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |