Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
4 - 0
BRA
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
WBA
1 - 1
MAC
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
4 - 0
EVE
45%
24%
30%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
0 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
NEW
2 - 0
TOT
73%
16%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
TOT
2 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
LIV
1 - 2
TOT
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1912 |
WBA
2 - 0
TOT
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
PNE
0 - 1
TOT
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |