Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
AAB
2 - 0
MAC
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
70%
19%
10%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
AAB
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
WHU
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 2
WIG
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 1
TOT
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 0
SUN
76%
16%
7%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARS
0 - 0
SUN
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
SUN
2 - 0
STO
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |