Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
CHA
4 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BBU
1 - 4
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
OPA
2 - 2
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
MAC
2 - 0
TRA
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
TOT
3 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
SUN
1 - 0
WHU
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ASV
1 - 1
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
SUN
0 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |