Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
COV
0 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
IPS
2 - 0
MAC
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
MAC
4 - 0
SWA
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
BHA
2 - 1
SUN
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
SUN
1 - 2
WBA
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1981 |
SUN
2 - 3
NTT
33%
29%
38%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
EVE
1 - 2
SUN
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
MID
0 - 0
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |