Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1970 |
S04
1 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
0 - 1
DER
64%
21%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 5
WHU
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 0
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
SUN
1 - 1
DER
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1970 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
33%
30%
36%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1970 |
COV
1 - 1
SUN
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
IPS
2 - 0
SUN
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
SUN
2 - 1
WOL
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |