Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 3
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
TOT
2 - 1
MAC
51%
22%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1956 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHA
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1956 |
SUN
3 - 2
TOT
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 3
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
BUR
4 - 0
SUN
47%
23%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 2
PNE
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 0
SUN
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |