Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
MAC
2 - 1
SHE
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1953 |
SHE
2 - 2
MAC
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
WOL
3 - 1
MAC
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
MAC
3 - 2
SHW
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAC
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1954 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
HUR
2 - 1
SUN
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1953 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHA
52%
22%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |