Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
MAC
3 - 3
SHW
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
BUR
4 - 2
MAC
54%
21%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
MAC
1 - 2
ASV
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
ASV
0 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
BBU
1 - 3
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
SUN
3 - 3
BUR
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
BBU
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
BBU
5 - 3
SUN
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
3 - 1
SUN
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |