Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1923 |
BOL
0 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOL
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 2
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1923 |
SHE
3 - 0
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1923 |
ASV
2 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1923 |
SUN
1 - 1
BIR
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1923 |
BIR
0 - 2
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1923 |
SUN
0 - 3
CAR
62%
20%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1923 |
WHU
0 - 1
SUN
30%
29%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |