Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
HUR
2 - 0
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 2
MAC
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
BOL
5 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 3
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
5 - 0
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
WBA
2 - 1
SUN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
4 - 1
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUN
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |