Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
EVE
2 - 0
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
WBA
2 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
MAC
2 - 3
WBA
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
WBA
4 - 0
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
LIV
3 - 2
SUN
41%
23%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
SHW
0 - 2
SUN
40%
24%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 1
SHW
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |