Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
MID
1 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1915 |
MAC
0 - 0
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1915 |
NEW
2 - 1
MAC
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1915 |
MAC
1 - 3
BBU
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
MAC
2 - 1
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
NOT
2 - 1
SUN
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1915 |
SUN
5 - 1
BBU
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1915 |
SUN
1 - 0
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1915 |
OLD
4 - 5
SUN
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
SUN
3 - 3
BRA
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |