Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1910 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1910 |
MAC
0 - 4
SHE
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1910 |
BCF
5 - 2
MAC
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
1 - 2
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1910 |
SUN
2 - 2
NTT
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1910 |
BBU
0 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1910 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRA
68%
18%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
SUN
33%
25%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
SUN
2 - 1
OLD
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |