Manchester City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHL
0 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 0
SHA
72%
17%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
5 - 0
CRY
82%
13%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
WBA
1 - 2
MAC
15%
20%
65%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 6
MAC
11%
19%
71%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STO
2 - 1
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STO
0 - 4
CHL
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 0
STO
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
STO
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STO
2 - 2
MUD
25%
26%
50%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |