Manchester City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
SHE
1 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1967 |
LEI
2 - 1
MAC
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
MAC
2 - 2
WBA
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1967 |
MAC
1 - 3
LEI
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
LEE
0 - 0
MAC
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
STO
2 - 2
ARS
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
STO
0 - 1
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
ASV
2 - 1
STO
50%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1967 |
NEW
3 - 1
STO
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
STO
3 - 0
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |