Manchester City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
CHL
3 - 0
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
MAC
0 - 3
BPO
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
NEW
4 - 2
MAC
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
MAC
2 - 0
FUL
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
STO
0 - 2
FUL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
NEW
4 - 1
STO
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
STO
2 - 3
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 2
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1949 |
STO
1 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |