Manchester City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
BIR
4 - 0
MAC
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1907 |
SHE
1 - 4
MAC
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOT
83%
11%
7%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
STO
3 - 1
BCF
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
SHW
0 - 1
STO
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 0
STO
81%
12%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
3 - 0
STO
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1907 |
STO
1 - 1
LIV
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |