Manchester City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHL
2 - 3
MAC
44%
24%
33%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 4
MAC
11%
22%
68%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
0 - 2
MAC
18%
24%
59%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 1
MAC
6%
19%
75%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 2
MAC
41%
26%
33%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 4
UDI
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
WOL
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
4 - 0
COV
78%
15%
6%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |