Manchester City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
ASV
0 - 0
MAC
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
LEI
4 - 0
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
MUD
2 - 0
MAC
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1987 |
SOU
2 - 2
WIM
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1987 |
SOU
3 - 0
LUT
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
SOU
5 - 0
ASV
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
EVE
3 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |