Manchester City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
TOT
2 - 1
MAC
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 2
BHA
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1979 |
MID
3 - 0
MAC
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
MAC
0 - 0
CRY
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1979 |
MAC
2 - 3
ASV
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
SOU
3 - 2
LIV
25%
30%
45%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
SOU
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1979 |
CRY
0 - 0
SOU
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |