Manchester City vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 2
TOT
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHL
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
WIG
4 - 3
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
MAC
4 - 1
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
BOU
1 - 1
SCU
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
SCU
0 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
SCU
2 - 2
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
SCU
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
SCU
3 - 1
NTT
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |