Manchester City vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
STO
1 - 1
MAC
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
FUL
1 - 4
MAC
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 0
BIR
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 0
MUD
20%
24%
55%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
WBA
0 - 2
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LAS
1 - 2
RBS
32%
28%
41%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
RBS
2 - 0
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
RBS
1 - 0
MAT
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
STR
0 - 0
RBS
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
WIE
1 - 0
RBS
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |