Manchester City vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIV
56%
21%
22%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 3
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 1
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 3
CRY
86%
10%
4%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 1
MAC
18%
23%
60%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 1
PNE
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 0
ROT
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 1
ROT
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
0 - 4
WBA
22%
27%
52%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |