Manchester City vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LEY
1 - 2
MAC
5%
13%
82%
|
97 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ARS
5 - 1
MAC
35%
24%
42%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
3 - 1
BRU
85%
10%
5%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
3 - 1
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
4 - 2
MAC
39%
23%
39%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
71%
17%
12%
|
100 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
LEG
2 - 3
RMA
6%
14%
80%
|
100 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 0
RMA
7%
15%
78%
|
100 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 3
RMA
4%
11%
85%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VAD
0 - 3
RMA
6%
14%
80%
|
100 | 84 | 16 | 0 |