Manchester City vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
ROM
2 - 2
MAC
25%
24%
51%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MCI
0 - 1
MAC
8%
16%
77%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
MAC
7%
15%
78%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 0
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 4
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RMA
0 - 0
ROM
90%
8%
3%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
RMA
7 - 3
GET
90%
7%
3%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 4
RMA
8%
16%
76%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
RMA
1 - 1
JUV
80%
13%
7%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
RMA
2 - 2
VCF
81%
13%
7%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |