Manchester City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 3
MAC
24%
25%
51%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 3
MUD
39%
24%
37%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
BVB
1 - 0
MAC
37%
25%
39%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
WIG
0 - 2
MAC
16%
24%
61%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
REA
2 - 5
ARS
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
SUN
3 - 0
REA
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
REA
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
REA
3 - 4
MUD
10%
19%
71%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
ASV
1 - 0
REA
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |