Manchester City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
DYN
2 - 0
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
WIG
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
FUL
66%
20%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
ARI
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 3
REA
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
REA
5 - 2
MID
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 1
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CRY
3 - 3
REA
23%
27%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
REA
2 - 1
MIL
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |