Manchester City vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1979 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
43%
28%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
MAC
0 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 1
WOL
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
WBA
4 - 0
MAC
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
IPS
2 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
TOT
1 - 1
QPR
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1979 |
QPR
0 - 0
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
QPR
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1979 |
BRI
2 - 0
QPR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
QPR
2 - 2
DER
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |